Kingfisher and
Air India flounder: CAPA study
New Delhi, May
25:
With
Kingfisher's international operations suspended and Air India's long-haul
services likely to be subject to ongoing industrial action, Jet Airways is
expected to seize the opportunity and aggressively expand its international
operations, aviation think-tank Centre For Asia Pacific Aviation has said.
“In addition to
increasing frequencies to existing destinations in the Gulf and Southeast Asia,
the other new routes under evaluation include Beijing, Ho Chi Minh City,
Shanghai, Amsterdam, Frankfurt, Munich, Paris and Rome (with Frankfurt and
Munich being the priority destinations, expected to commence from the Winter
2012/13 schedule), Chicago, San Francisco and Washington,” the study adds.
Strategic
development
The study also
hints at Jet Airways becoming the first Indian carrier to join a global airline
alliance, Star Alliance. The ongoing troubles in Air India may force the
Government to do a rethink on whether Jet Airways should be permitted to join
Star Alliance or not.
Initially, the
Government had said that it could not proceed with the application of Jet
Airways until Air India had been inducted.
“Its (Jet
Airways) plans to start services to Frankfurt and Munich are linked to this
strategic development,” the report adds.
Short-haul
international traffic growth — to South and Southeast Asia, as well as the Gulf
and Central Asia — is expected to be above 10 per cent as IndiGo and SpiceJet
ramp up their overseas operations.
Traffic impact
“GoAir has also
applied for permission to launch international services, despite the fact that
it has not yet met the qualification threshold of having a fleet of at least 20
aircraft (it has just twelve).
However, its
application is likely to be approved,” the report adds.
The study
estimates that International passenger traffic is projected to grow by 8?10 per
cent in fiscal 2012-13 to reach approximately 44 million. “However, much will
depend upon developments at Air India, which has the largest share of
international capacity to and from India at 14.4 per cent. If the failure to
address human resources issues leads to ongoing industrial action and even a
possible temporary shutdown of the carrier, there would undoubtedly be an
impact on traffic growth,” the report states.
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