Air India Ltd, which got a
government bailout to avoid bankruptcy this year, is planning its biggest bond
sale to refinance costlier debt, as it prepares to add Boeing Co’s Dreamliner
planes.
The airline is offering Rs 7,400
crore ($1.3 billion) of 19-year notes at a maximum of 9.5 per cent, according
to a statement on its website.
It issued 20-year securities at
10.05 per cent in September 2011.
Benchmark five-year bond yields for
AAA-rated Indian companies fell 27 basis points this year to 9.25 per cent as
central bank Governor Duvvuri Subbarao cut interest rates for the first time
since 2009 to arrest an economic slowdown. Similar US rates dropped 20 basis
points.
Air India is banking on debt
guarantees and almost $6 billion in government cash injections to revive a
business that has made losses since 2007. The company is modernising its fleet
to save as much as 20 per cent in fuel consumption, attract passengers and open
routes only profitable with newer planes.
“The sale will help Air India
replace high-cost borrowings with lower-interest debt,” R K Gupta, the New
Delhi-based managing director of Taurus Asset Management Ltd, which oversees
the equivalent of $679 million, said in an interview on July 13. “It will find
takers because of the government guarantee. Public-sector banks and insurance
companies will be particularly keen to bid, as they always seek long-term
paper.”
The Mumbai-based airline is boosting
borrowings to expand operations as CAPA Centre for Aviation, an industry
consultant, predicts India’s air traffic will grow 10 per cent this year.
The company is raising $195 million
in loans from Standard Chartered Plc to pay for the first two Dreamliner aircraft,
according to a statement in March. It also plans to borrow, along with its unit
Air India Charters Ltd, an additional $600 million overseas, according to
tender documents on its website.
Government backing is helping Air
India access funds while privately-owned rivals are short of cash even after
shutting some services. Billionaire Vijay Mallya’s Kingfisher Airlines Ltd has
been seeking funds since at least November after more than 10 straight
quarterly losses that prompted a cut in daily flights to 120 in March from
about 340 last year.
Jet Airways (India) Ltd, the
nation’s biggest carrier, is looking to sell or lease out surplus aircraft to
reduce debt after facing losses for five quarters because of fuel costs and a
price war. Last financial year, the airline converted Rs 400 crore of loans
into dollar-denominated debt to cut interest expense.
Industry wide losses at the nation’s
airlines totalled more than $2 billion in the year ended in March, according to
CAPA. That may narrow to as much as $1.4 billion in the current financial year,
the consultant estimates.
“Air India is enjoying an advantage
that may not be quite correct, ethically,” said P Phani Sekhar, a trader in
Mumbai at Angel Broking Ltd. “There’s no level playing field, if you look from
a competition perspective.”
Rupee debt costs have declined this
year as the Reserve Bank of India cut its repurchase rate in April by 50 basis
points, or 0.5 percentage point, to 8 per cent. Benchmark 10-year sovereign
bond yields dropped 47 basis points in 2012, according to data compiled by
Bloomberg. The extra amount investors seek to hold the notes instead of US
Treasuries has retreated 32 basis points from this year’s high of 694 in May.
That fuelled a 46 per cent jump in
issuance of rupee-denominated securities this year to Rs 1.1 lakh crore, data
compiled by Bloomberg show. The Reserve Bank will cut its repo rate further by
50 basis points at the next review on July 31, analysts at Citigroup Inc,
including Singapore-based Gaurav Garg, predicted in a research note dated July
12.
“We may see a further spurt in bond
sales after the next RBI policy meeting,” Pradeep Madhav, managing director at
Mumbai-based STCI Primary Dealer Ltd, said in an interview on July 13.
“Expectations of better liquidity and interest-rate cuts will support debt
supplies.”
The yield on the benchmark 8.15 per
cent government debt due June 2022 was little changed at 8.10 per cent on July
13, while the rupee gained 1.4 per cent to 55.145 per dollar. Indian bonds
returned 5.5 per cent this year in the region’s best performance, according to
indexes compiled by HSBC Holdings Plc.
Overseas borrowing costs for Indian
companies have slid to a 10-month low as the government prepares to widen tax
cuts on international debt sales. The average yield on the dollar- denominated
notes of the nation’s firms fell 150 basis points this year to 5.33 per cent,
HSBC Holdings Plc data show. A similar measure for Asia dropped 79 basis points
to 3.91 per cent.
Air India is still far from a
turnaround and its bond sale may have failed if not for the government
guarantee, according to the CAPA Centre for Aviation.
‘No Value’
“If not for the government guarantee, there’s no value in those bonds,” Kapil
Kaul, New Delhi-based head of the Indian unit of CAPA, said in an interview on
July 13. “To turn around, the airline has to reduce losses and create more
viable business model. That hasn’t happened yet. An actual turnaround of
operations when the airline starts to break even and makes money is far off.”
Air India, once the country’s
biggest airline, has slipped to fourth place behind newer private carriers Jet
Airways, IndiGo and SpiceJet Ltd., which have lower costs and fewer staff. It
lost about 80 billion rupees last fiscal year, according to CAPA. The company,
which sought compensation from Boeing for delays in the delivery of the
Dreamliner jets, is ready to take the aircraft as negotiations with the plane
maker conclude, Chairman Rohit Nandan said in Beijing on June 11.
Dreamliner Effect
The 787 jet, also called the Dreamliner, may help Air India improve operations
as well as brand image as the company would be the third carrier to receive
one, after All Nippon Airways Co. and Japan Airlines Co. It is the first
aircraft to be built with a large plastic fuselage, reducing fuel consumption.
The Indian carrier has ordered 27 of the planes.
Bond risk for Indian companies
dropped in 2012. The average cost of five-year credit-default swaps insuring
against non- payment by seven local issuers dropped 75 basis points to 386,
according to data provider CMA, which is owned by McGraw-Hill Cos. and compiles
prices quoted by dealers in privately negotiated markets.
The yield on Air India’s 10.05 per
cent bonds due 2031 has declined to 9.35 per cent from 9.55 per cent at the end
of 2011 and 9.93 per cent on Sept. 30, 2011, when trading in the notes began,
according to prices from the Fixed Income Money Market and Derivatives
Association of India. “The new bond sale will help Air India cut borrowing
costs,” Nasim Zaidi, secretary at Ministry of Civil Aviation, said on July 12.
“The proceeds will be used to refinance part of the company’s working capital
loans.”
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